Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | EMU +120 MASS -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +6 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | EMU -2.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -0.1 (+5.9) | 141.9 (+12.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -1.8 (+4.2) | 140.1 (+13.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -1.1 (+4.9) | 141.5 (+12.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -1.3 (+4.7) | 143.3 (+10.7) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | MASS 70 – 67 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-14 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#191) | -0.5 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#182) | 0.02 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#178) | -0.12 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#209) | 0.489 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 32.2% |
Game Analysis
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