Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | MASS -425 EMU +330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +3 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -6.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -5.2 (-2.2) | 144.0 (-7.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -4.9 (-1.9) | 144.7 (-7.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -4.9 (-1.9) | 144.4 (-7.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -4.9 (-1.9) | 148.3 (-11.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | EMU 80 – 74 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#173) | -3.3 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#172) | -0.58 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#178) | -0.69 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#174) | 0.466 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.1% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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