Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -44.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +51 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -41.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -33.9 (+17.1) | 144.9 (+14.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | TENN -26.3 (+24.7) | 144.8 (+14.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | TENN -25.2 (+25.8) | 144.8 (+14.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -34.9 (+16.1) | 146.0 (+13.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-16 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 17.5 (#18) | -19.7 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#42) | -3.86 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.60 (#31) | -5.28 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#50) | 0.331 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 43.2 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 15.1 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 44.7% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 60.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 36.2% |
Game Analysis
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