Betting Lines
| Spread | GMU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | LAS +350 GMU -455 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GMU +5 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | GMU -8.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (+22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GMU -8.7 (+3.7) | 135.1 (+19.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GMU -9.0 (+4.0) | 136.0 (+19.0) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GMU -9.0 (+4.0) | 135.4 (+19.6) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GMU -9.6 (+4.6) | 136.5 (+18.5) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2025 | GMU 69 – 62 LAS |
| Jan 3, 2024 | GMU 77 – 62 LAS |
| Feb 18, 2023 | GMU 70 – 66 LAS |
| Feb 5, 2022 | LAS 83 – 78 GMU |
| Feb 27, 2021 | GMU 89 – 54 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-6 | 17-3 |
| Away | 1-13 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#265) | 6.1 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#293) | 2.29 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#283) | 2.80 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#278) | 0.585 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 36.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.