I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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47–9 on winners spread MAE 9.2 56 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
McNeese @ Michigan +23.4 150.0 91% 71–112 ✓
Kent State @ Purdue +23.0 155.1 91% 60–101 ✓
Cornell @ Michigan State +20.9 151.9 90% 97–114 ✓
New Haven @ Vanderbilt +31.3 139.3 91% 53–96 ✓
Long Island University @ Georgia +26.1 164.5 91% 74–89 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Murray State +7.9 159.8 80% 81–84 ✓
Belmont @ Indiana State -9.5 150.9 22% 80–81 ✗
Delaware State @ Rutgers +15.8 136.3 88% 50–65 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Fairfield +4.2 139.2 66% 70–66 ✗
Lipscomb @ Cincinnati +6.3 143.6 68% 62–89 ✓
Oakland @ Wright State +2.9 152.0 65% 73–88 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Robert Morris +2.7 147.0 68% 79–77 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Cleveland State +0.0 163.7 58% 86–99 ✓
Iona @ Mount St. Mary's -7.0 149.8 27% 59–66 ✗
Manhattan @ Rider -2.3 138.0 44% 74–71 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ North Carolina A&T -4.7 137.7 32% 87–78 ✓
Drexel @ Charleston +7.1 141.9 76% 63–72 ✓
Campbell @ Hofstra +12.6 146.9 87% 72–86 ✓
Stony Brook @ Hampton +0.5 138.8 56% 59–62 ✓
Northeastern @ Elon +6.3 153.6 71% 91–103 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Jacksonville State -5.7 138.1 34% 67–78 ✗
Alabama State @ Mississippi State +12.7 150.4 88% 56–94 ✓
Lamar @ Northwestern State -0.3 144.2 51% 76–61 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ East Texas A&M -7.5 143.1 23% 75–48 ✓
UTEP @ Louisiana Tech +1.6 127.3 49% 63–75 ✓
Houston Christian @ Iowa State +33.1 147.2 91% 61–89 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Houston +20.0 137.5 89% 60–69 ✓
Yale @ Alabama +14.3 166.5 87% 78–102 ✓
James Madison @ Arkansas +24.6 156.8 91% 74–103 ✓
Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa +12.2 126.1 86% 48–58 ✓
Evansville @ Bradley +12.0 142.7 86% 68–76 ✓
Alcorn State @ Ole Miss +24.2 145.0 91% 43–79 ✓
Southern Miss @ LSU +17.4 151.8 88% 62–90 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Texas A&M +25.1 163.2 91% 82–111 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Oklahoma +35.8 150.6 91% 69–93 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Milwaukee +0.8 153.6 57% 55–77 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Oklahoma State +21.6 156.8 91% 77–103 ✓
Jackson State @ TCU +30.5 140.8 91% 64–115 ✓
California Baptist @ Utah Valley +9.4 142.6 80% 66–73 ✓
Tarleton State @ UT Arlington +2.1 133.5 65% 69–63 ✗
New Orleans @ UT Rio Grande Valley +7.9 144.5 82% 85–69 ✗
Nicholls @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +4.0 135.3 65% 76–71 ✗
South Dakota State @ Arizona +26.7 153.4 91% 71–99 ✓
Illinois State @ Drake -1.6 145.1 40% 73–56 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Minnesota +22.5 137.6 91% 43–60 ✓
Southern Utah @ Utah Tech +10.5 147.7 86% 66–80 ✓
Queens University @ Auburn +20.3 165.5 89% 65–106 ✓
Utah @ Washington +14.5 152.5 87% 65–74 ✓
Vermont @ Princeton -1.2 134.5 41% 69–75 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Incarnate Word +8.7 139.3 77% 70–79 ✓
Ohio @ Central Michigan -4.9 148.0 27% 80–64 ✓
Wyoming @ Air Force -11.5 136.8 15% 68–56 ✓
Howard @ Northwestern +17.4 141.3 88% 60–80 ✓
UAlbany @ South Carolina +19.9 146.1 90% 67–96 ✓
East Tennessee State @ The Citadel -13.3 140.4 16% 74–49 ✓
Western Michigan @ Toledo +9.6 152.5 82% 79–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.