Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -28.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | MISS -5000 ALCN +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +36 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -27.2 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-28.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -26.0 (+10.0) | 143.2 (-21.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MISS -24.7 (+11.3) | 143.4 (-21.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | MISS -21.9 (+14.1) | 144.0 (-22.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -24.2 (+11.8) | 145.0 (-23.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | MISS 73 – 58 ALCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-9 | 5-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-18 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 80.2 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#91) | -16.5 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#134) | -1.32 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#116) | -1.94 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#149) | 0.470 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 28.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 24.2% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 59.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 57.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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