I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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10–4 on winners spread MAE 10.2 14 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Mary's @ Loyola Marymount -4.0 136.0 34% 78–73 ✓
Gonzaga @ Pepperdine -15.5 142.7 15% 96–56 ✓
San Francisco @ Seattle U +4.4 137.3 72% 67–59 ✗
Omaha @ Oregon +15.1 149.4 87% 57–80 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Penn State +19.5 146.0 89% 67–90 ✓
Merrimack @ Sacred Heart +1.8 135.7 57% 80–72 ✗
Missouri State @ Delaware +1.6 134.7 54% 61–43 ✗
Southern @ Illinois +33.1 158.6 91% 55–90 ✓
Marist @ Quinnipiac +3.6 137.7 70% 58–64 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Iowa +33.0 142.0 91% 62–90 ✓
Towson @ William & Mary +6.0 142.9 69% 70–84 ✓
Dartmouth @ Florida +26.8 150.8 91% 72–94 ✓
UMBC @ Coppin State -8.3 141.4 17% 93–59 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Youngstown State +11.3 143.9 86% 73–68 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.