Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | ORE -5000 OMA +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +23 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -15.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (-18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -14.7 (+8.3) | 148.5 (-11.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -14.6 (+8.4) | 148.5 (-11.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -15.1 (+7.9) | 149.4 (-12.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -14.4 (+8.6) | 149.8 (-12.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#91) | -5.1 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#119) | -0.56 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#105) | -0.86 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#104) | 0.472 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.