Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | W&M -135 TOW +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +14 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -8.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -3.1 (+10.9) | 144.1 (+9.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -6.0 (+8.0) | 142.6 (+11.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -6.0 (+8.0) | 142.9 (+11.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -4.5 (+9.5) | 140.4 (+13.6) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2025 | TOW 88 – 73 W&M |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TOW 67 – 56 W&M |
| Feb 16, 2024 | TOW 61 – 52 W&M |
| Feb 14, 2023 | W&M 68 – 66 TOW |
| Jan 28, 2023 | TOW 92 – 73 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-2 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#94) | 1.9 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#79) | 1.10 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#82) | 1.34 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#59) | 0.575 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 26.6% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 37.9% |
| FT Rate | 32.4% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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