Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -148 SF +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +8 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -5.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -3.1 (-11.1) | 139.8 (-13.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -5.0 (-13.0) | 137.0 (-11.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -4.4 (-12.4) | 137.3 (-11.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -5.8 (-13.8) | 137.2 (-11.2) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2023 | SF 62 – 59 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#109) | 3.2 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#63) | 0.43 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#60) | 0.95 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#101) | 0.507 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.