Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -5000 DSU +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +15 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -18.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -17.5 (-2.5) | 136.5 (-21.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -14.7 (+0.3) | 136.0 (-21.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -15.8 (-0.8) | 136.3 (-21.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -14.5 (+0.5) | 134.4 (-19.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 2-12 |
| Home | 10-7 | 5-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 59.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#196) | -16.6 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#177) | -2.13 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#210) | -3.16 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#175) | 0.401 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 36.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 40.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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