Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -44.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +24 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | OU -40.4 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -28.0 (-4.0) | 152.3 (+9.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -24.9 (-0.9) | 149.3 (+12.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -35.8 (-11.8) | 150.6 (+11.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -35.9 (-11.9) | 153.7 (+8.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | OU 82 – 43 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 3-30 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 2-16 |
| Home | 11-5 | 2-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-18 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 83.7 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#52) | -25.2 (#365) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#34) | -4.24 (#364) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.48 (#33) | -6.49 (#364) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#100) | 0.367 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 25.6% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 57.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 61.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 35.8% |
Game Analysis
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