Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -36.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | OU -100000 MVSU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +39 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | OU -30.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -21.2 (+17.8) | 148.7 (-23.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -27.6 (+11.4) | 148.9 (-23.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | OU 93 – 69 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 1-30 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 1-17 |
| Home | 14-4 | 1-8 |
| Away | 3-6 | 0-22 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 55.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#54) | -10.3 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#96) | -0.38 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#73) | -0.62 (#246) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 56.0% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 45.0% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 0.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 65.0% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 29.8% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 48.0% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.1% | 69.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 60.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.1% | 40.7% |
Game Analysis
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