Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -25.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -20000 FDU +3500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +17 | 103 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -24.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-36.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -23.7 (-6.7) | 138.0 (-35.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MINN -20.3 (-3.3) | 138.7 (-35.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | MINN -19.8 (-2.8) | 135.9 (-32.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -22.5 (-5.5) | 137.6 (-34.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | MINN 74 – 60 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 65.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#108) | -15.4 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#136) | -3.76 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#119) | -5.41 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#177) | 0.359 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.5% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 59.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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