Betting Lines
| Spread | HAMP -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP -142 STBK +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +3 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | HAMP -2.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAMP -2.7 (+0.3) | 136.7 (-15.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -1.0 (+2.0) | 138.8 (-17.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -0.5 (+2.5) | 138.8 (-17.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -0.7 (+2.3) | 137.5 (-16.5) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | STBK 79 – 72 HAMP |
| Feb 24, 2025 | HAMP 81 – 49 STBK |
| Feb 15, 2024 | STBK 93 – 73 HAMP |
| Jan 28, 2023 | STBK 71 – 66 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-12 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#261) | -4.4 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#296) | -0.17 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#300) | -1.03 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#325) | 0.477 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 34.7% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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