Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | STBK -230 HAMP +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +7 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -6.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -3.2 (+3.8) | 135.0 (+16.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -5.2 (+1.8) | 132.8 (+18.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -5.3 (+1.7) | 133.7 (+17.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -4.8 (+2.2) | 135.0 (+16.0) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | HAMP 62 – 59 STBK |
| Feb 24, 2025 | HAMP 81 – 49 STBK |
| Feb 15, 2024 | STBK 93 – 73 HAMP |
| Jan 28, 2023 | STBK 71 – 66 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#215) | -6.3 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#173) | -1.00 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#187) | -1.37 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#162) | 0.455 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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