Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
Coastal Athletic Association · Island FCU Arena · February 15, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread STBK -11.5 Home covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Money STBK -1000 / HAMP +550
Model Predictions
Spread Total STBK win
Actual STBK +20 166 Won
Massey STBK -15.5 (+4.5)
Massey Totals 149.9 (+16.1)
Bradley-Terry 98%
Weighted B-T 99%
Efficiency Plus ML STBK -11.1 (+8.9) 147.9 (+18.1) 86%
Baseline Tuned ML STBK -11.7 (+8.3) 146.0 (+20.0) 87%
Baseline ML STBK -11.5 (+8.5) 145.3 (+20.7) 87%
Baseline Plus ML STBK -11.6 (+8.4) 146.9 (+19.1) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 STBK 7972 HAMP
Dec 30, 2025 HAMP 6259 STBK
Feb 24, 2025 HAMP 8149 STBK
Jan 28, 2023 STBK 7166 HAMP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STBK HAMP
Overall 20-15 9-24
Conference 10-8 3-15
Home 13-3 5-9
Away 4-11 1-12
Neutral 3-1 3-3
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.0 68.0
Avg Pts Against 73.0 78.5
Massey -2.8 (#215) -14.9 (#353)
Bradley-Terry -0.11 (#181) -3.27 (#357)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.03 (#166) -3.82 (#357)
RPI 0.499 (#172) 0.367 (#359)
Shooting & Four Factors STBK HAMP
FG% 42.6% 42.0%
3PT% 34.1% 31.6%
REB / G 35.8 34.0
OREB / G 10.0 10.1
AST / TO 1.08 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 48.2%
TOV% 15.7% 19.1%
ORB% 27.5% 27.9%
FT Rate 20.4% 20.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.8% 53.1%
Opp TOV% 16.3% 14.9%
DRB% 71.0% 67.4%
Opp FT Rate 17.8% 23.9%

Game Analysis

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