Betting Lines
| Spread | HAMP -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP -425 STBK +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +32 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | HAMP -10.4 (+21.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -9.7 (+22.3) | 137.2 (-7.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAMP -7.6 (+24.4) | 136.4 (-6.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -9.8 (+22.2) | 136.7 (-6.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -9.6 (+22.4) | 136.7 (-6.7) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | STBK 79 – 72 HAMP |
| Dec 30, 2025 | HAMP 62 – 59 STBK |
| Feb 15, 2024 | STBK 93 – 73 HAMP |
| Jan 28, 2023 | STBK 71 – 66 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-4 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#231) | -11.1 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#208) | -2.04 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#208) | -2.56 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#181) | 0.427 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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