And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
Coastal Athletic Association · Convocation Center (VA) · January 28, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread STBK -1.5 Away covered
O/U 133.5 Over
Money HAMP +100 / STBK +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total HAMP win
Actual STBK +5 137 Lost
Massey HAMP -0.9 (-5.9)
Massey Totals 136.5 (+0.5)
Bradley-Terry 54%
Weighted B-T 54%
Efficiency Plus ML STBK -1.3 (-3.7) 133.9 (+3.1) 43%
Baseline Tuned ML HAMP -0.2 (-5.2) 136.1 (+0.9) 47%
Baseline ML HAMP -0.0 (-5.0) 138.3 (-1.3) 44%
Baseline Plus ML HAMP -0.2 (-5.2) 134.4 (+2.6) 47%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 STBK 7972 HAMP
Dec 30, 2025 HAMP 6259 STBK
Feb 24, 2025 HAMP 8149 STBK
Feb 15, 2024 STBK 9373 HAMP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HAMP STBK
Overall 8-24 11-22
Conference 5-13 6-12
Home 7-6 7-7
Away 1-13 3-13
Neutral 0-5 1-2
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 67.5 61.5
Avg Pts Against 78.1 69.9
Massey -12.3 (#347) -9.7 (#327)
Bradley-Terry -1.86 (#331) -1.40 (#296)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.49 (#335) -1.90 (#311)
RPI 0.413 (#324) 0.433 (#300)
Shooting & Four Factors HAMP STBK
FG% 39.1% 40.2%
3PT% 33.6% 30.4%
REB / G 32.9 32.3
OREB / G 10.1 6.7
AST / TO 0.91 0.84
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.4% 47.3%
TOV% 16.3% 19.4%
ORB% 26.1% 20.6%
FT Rate 23.5% 25.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.9% 51.6%
Opp TOV% 16.2% 14.1%
DRB% 68.2% 73.7%
Opp FT Rate 25.5% 17.6%

Game Analysis

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