Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Over |
| Money | OKST -4500 BCU +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +26 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -23.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.8 (+14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -22.3 (+3.7) | 157.0 (+23.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | OKST -19.6 (+6.4) | 156.6 (+23.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | OKST -18.6 (+7.4) | 156.7 (+23.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -21.6 (+4.4) | 156.8 (+23.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-6 | 10-1 |
| Away | 3-7 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.9 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 77.5 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#59) | -9.4 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#28) | -1.11 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.38 (#38) | -2.01 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#64) | 0.489 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 62.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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