Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN +140 UVM -166 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +6 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -2.1 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -1.1 (+7.1) | 133.5 (+10.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -1.8 (+7.8) | 133.5 (+10.5) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -1.2 (+7.2) | 134.5 (+9.5) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -1.6 (+7.6) | 135.6 (+8.4) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | UVM 79 – 74 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 12-4 |
| Home | 8-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-12 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#280) | -0.9 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.15 (#328) | 0.11 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.47 (#306) | 0.04 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#331) | 0.521 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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