Princeton
Tigers
74
–
79
FINAL
Neutral
Terry's Chocolate ESPN Events Invitational
Vermont
Catamounts
Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN +200 UVM -245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +5 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -10.8 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -5.8 (+0.8) | 146.4 (+6.6) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -4.9 (-0.1) | 145.8 (+7.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -4.9 (-0.1) | 148.1 (+4.9) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -5.7 (+0.7) | 144.7 (+8.3) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | PRIN 75 – 69 UVM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 12-4 |
| Home | 8-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-12 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#281) | 4.0 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#242) | 0.96 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#238) | 2.05 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#236) | 0.573 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 33.9% |
Game Analysis
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