Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -30.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +51 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -31.5 (+19.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+35.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -33.7 (+17.3) | 141.8 (+37.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -24.8 (+26.2) | 143.9 (+35.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -24.0 (+27.0) | 140.8 (+38.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -30.5 (+20.5) | 140.8 (+38.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2022 | TCU 78 – 51 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-5 | 7-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 83.8 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#64) | -17.8 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#82) | -2.49 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#62) | -3.45 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#164) | 0.423 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 36.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 58.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
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