Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -8000 JKST +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +27 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -17.7 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -18.3 (+8.7) | 139.4 (-10.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -16.3 (+10.7) | 144.7 (-15.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -16.4 (+10.6) | 143.9 (-14.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -18.5 (+8.5) | 143.4 (-14.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | TCU 115 – 64 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-4 | 7-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-14 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#92) | -7.7 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#68) | -2.01 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.48 (#24) | -4.13 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#155) | 0.353 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 13.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 59.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 79.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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