In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Coastal Athletic Association · David S. Mack Sports and Exhibition Complex · December 30, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread HOF -6.5 Home covered
O/U 149.5 Over
Money HOF -325 / CAM +260
Model Predictions
Spread Total HOF win
Actual HOF +14 158 Won
Massey HOF -15.8 (-1.8)
Massey Totals 153.8 (+4.2)
Bradley-Terry 91%
Weighted B-T 92%
Efficiency Plus ML HOF -9.7 (+4.3) 146.4 (+11.6) 84%
Baseline Tuned ML HOF -12.4 (+1.6) 146.2 (+11.8) 88%
Baseline ML HOF -12.6 (+1.4) 146.9 (+11.1) 87%
Baseline Plus ML HOF -12.6 (+1.4) 144.8 (+13.2) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2025 CAM 7552 HOF
Jan 25, 2025 CAM 6967 HOF
Jan 13, 2024 CAM 6968 HOF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HOF CAM
Overall 24-11 16-18
Conference 12-6 8-10
Home 10-2 10-4
Away 9-8 3-13
Neutral 5-1 3-1
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.4 76.1
Avg Pts Against 68.2 78.8
Massey 6.3 (#95) -5.4 (#252)
Bradley-Terry 1.49 (#70) -0.14 (#182)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.60 (#92) -0.14 (#169)
RPI 0.613 (#29) 0.502 (#167)
Shooting & Four Factors HOF CAM
FG% 45.2% 42.1%
3PT% 36.8% 28.5%
REB / G 35.4 34.7
OREB / G 11.1 12.5
AST / TO 1.12 0.69
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.4% 47.4%
TOV% 17.6% 20.7%
ORB% 33.5% 33.9%
FT Rate 24.3% 32.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.1% 55.5%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 16.5%
DRB% 67.9% 68.2%
Opp FT Rate 26.9% 27.4%

Game Analysis

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