Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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66–25 on winners spread MAE 9.9 91 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Jackson State @ Kentucky +27.7 157.5 91% 59–108 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Florida +14.7 149.7 86% 68–93 ✓
Virginia @ St. John's +10.1 134.3 84% 55–80 ✓
Syracuse @ Texas Tech +10.0 150.8 86% 74–79 ✓
William & Mary @ NC State +14.2 156.1 87% 61–84 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Georgia State +4.4 144.3 67% 79–93 ✓
Army @ Manhattan +2.9 151.2 70% 79–80 ✓
VMI @ Davidson +13.5 148.7 86% 66–93 ✓
Colgate @ Harvard +2.7 135.7 63% 67–78 ✓
Chicago State @ Indiana State +16.5 152.8 90% 61–97 ✓
Morgan State @ Buffalo +2.6 156.0 66% 73–82 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ East Tennessee State +11.4 151.1 87% 76–87 ✓
Drexel @ Fordham +2.1 139.9 57% 73–71 ✗
Merrimack @ Butler +13.5 130.4 86% 39–78 ✓
Winthrop @ Louisville +13.0 148.7 87% 61–76 ✓
Texas State @ Princeton +3.7 134.9 60% 83–80 ✗
VCU @ Nevada +4.3 135.6 70% 61–64 ✓
UL Monroe @ Northwestern State +8.9 136.4 74% 65–63 ✗
New Orleans @ Tulane +18.4 145.1 89% 93–87 ✗
UNC Asheville @ Southeast Missouri State -2.5 146.4 31% 72–64 ✓
Elon @ Notre Dame +5.6 144.5 69% 84–77 ✗
Pacific @ Missouri +20.4 147.1 90% 56–91 ✓
Hofstra @ Houston +17.7 131.7 90% 44–80 ✓
Nebraska @ Creighton +8.3 147.7 57% 74–63 ✗
South Dakota @ Southern Indiana +3.3 157.1 65% 83–92 ✓
Utah Valley @ Murray State +6.8 142.3 66% 77–75 ✗
Green Bay @ Evansville -5.0 153.1 38% 81–98 ✗
South Carolina State @ Alabama A&M -0.9 142.9 27% 82–70 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Northern Arizona +5.2 138.2 72% 74–75 ✓
Rice @ Houston Christian -6.3 133.8 21% 61–58 ✓
Portland State @ Milwaukee +2.0 154.1 67% 74–91 ✓
Pepperdine @ Northwestern +16.9 137.1 89% 50–68 ✓
Utah State @ Iowa -1.1 153.1 39% 77–69 ✓
George Washington @ Kansas State -1.2 141.3 58% 71–83 ✗
Omaha @ Alabama State -0.8 145.2 59% 67–85 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Wyoming +5.0 138.5 72% 61–64 ✓
Mississippi State @ SMU +1.8 154.6 49% 84–79 ✗
Little Rock @ Arkansas +10.0 135.7 82% 67–79 ✓
Norfolk State @ Grand Canyon +0.5 144.3 68% 73–91 ✓
UC Riverside @ Colorado State +10.7 143.9 84% 77–75 ✗
UC Irvine @ Weber State -10.9 141.1 19% 93–87 ✓
Tennessee @ Baylor -3.5 144.8 29% 77–62 ✓
Texas @ Saint Joseph's -5.2 143.5 25% 67–58 ✓
Southern Utah @ San Diego -0.4 143.7 50% 72–67 ✓
North Dakota @ Loyola Marymount +4.7 135.1 66% 77–73 ✗
Alcorn State @ Washington +19.7 131.9 90% 60–77 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UCLA +23.0 133.1 91% 47–80 ✓
Duke @ Arizona -4.0 143.0 26% 69–55 ✓
Wichita State @ Saint Louis -2.0 153.2 39% 88–63 ✓
North Carolina @ Hawai'i -11.1 158.7 15% 87–69 ✓
Georgia @ Marquette +7.2 146.1 75% 69–80 ✓
La Salle @ Stetson -7.8 145.5 21% 92–77 ✓
Florida International @ Cal State Bakersfield +1.6 136.0 43% 76–73 ✗
Marshall @ Purdue +15.9 146.7 88% 45–80 ✓
Presbyterian @ Monmouth -4.0 136.5 30% 71–61 ✓
Delaware @ Vermont -0.8 137.7 55% 71–75 ✗
West Georgia @ Georgia Southern +9.5 145.3 83% 54–64 ✓
Boston University @ UMBC +0.2 132.7 40% 75–71 ✗
Saint Francis @ Georgetown +9.7 141.2 85% 65–82 ✓
Long Island University @ Charlotte +14.1 139.7 85% 79–76 ✗
East Carolina @ UIC +2.4 150.5 50% 72–55 ✗
Northeastern @ Florida Gulf Coast +2.0 130.5 62% 59–55 ✗
Quinnipiac @ UMass Lowell +2.4 148.4 71% 70–80 ✓
UAlbany @ Kansas City -3.9 130.6 29% 67–65 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Portland State -0.5 152.9 44% 91–65 ✓
Brown @ Canisius -7.8 145.3 21% 83–76 ✓
Cincinnati @ Georgia Tech -12.0 147.3 27% 81–58 ✓
South Carolina State @ IU Indianapolis -2.1 142.3 27% 72–62 ✓
New Hampshire @ Marist +10.5 138.1 84% 49–54 ✓
Furman @ Charleston Southern -7.6 142.9 26% 67–46 ✓
Fairfield @ Yale +14.0 137.6 86% 66–91 ✓
UAB @ Illinois State +2.8 144.7 55% 83–84 ✓
Bowling Green @ Bellarmine -1.7 144.0 53% 68–80 ✗
James Madison @ Jacksonville State -3.0 137.9 35% 71–65 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Illinois +25.2 150.9 91% 40–87 ✓
Delaware State @ Mount St. Mary's +8.3 138.0 79% 66–76 ✓
Omaha @ Akron +7.0 149.3 80% 84–92 ✓
Wofford @ Milwaukee +1.9 139.6 63% 74–76 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Wake Forest +13.0 138.6 87% 57–67 ✓
Le Moyne @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +7.4 148.7 76% 61–82 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Alabama A&M -0.2 137.1 52% 70–77 ✗
Idaho @ Southern Utah +6.5 146.4 82% 67–82 ✓
Massachusetts @ Temple -1.4 153.3 58% 80–87 ✗
Northern Illinois @ DePaul +15.6 139.2 87% 52–98 ✓
UL Monroe @ North Alabama +8.7 146.0 80% 62–74 ✓
Fresno State @ Long Beach State +2.0 140.7 45% 72–69 ✗
Louisiana @ George Washington +13.7 145.8 89% 74–83 ✓
Toledo @ UC San Diego -0.6 146.4 51% 45–80 ✗
Tulsa @ Loyola Chicago +11.8 153.6 83% 53–89 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Queens University -0.6 149.3 55% 74–98 ✗
Lamar @ Alabama State +5.4 144.3 63% 75–77 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.