Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | DAV -5000 VMI +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +27 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -11.7 (+15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -10.5 (+16.5) | 149.2 (+9.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -10.2 (+16.8) | 148.7 (+10.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -9.7 (+17.3) | 147.7 (+11.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -13.5 (+13.5) | 148.7 (+10.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2022 | DAV 75 – 71 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#138) | -3.3 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#64) | -0.65 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#92) | -0.77 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#201) | 0.449 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 40.7% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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