Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | DAV -3300 VMI +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +4 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -22.7 (-18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -15.1 (-11.1) | 150.7 (-4.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -13.7 (-9.7) | 149.5 (-3.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | DAV 93 – 66 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 2-16 |
| Home | 7-8 | 6-8 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 78.4 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#36) | -3.3 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.94 (#2) | -0.34 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.04 (#3) | -0.48 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#28) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.2% | 25.0% |
| 3PT% | 43.5% | 21.2% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.7% | 30.5% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 14.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.5% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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