Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | CLT -1500 LIU +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +3 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -14.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (+13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -11.1 (-14.1) | 140.2 (+14.8) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -11.5 (-14.5) | 142.9 (+12.1) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -10.5 (-13.5) | 142.6 (+12.4) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -14.1 (-17.1) | 139.7 (+15.3) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 12-4 |
| Home | 8-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-12 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 65.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#147) | -6.1 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#70) | -0.24 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#74) | 0.17 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#44) | 0.541 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 35.2% |
Game Analysis
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