Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 168.5 Under |
| Money | IOWA -165 USU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +8 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | USU -3.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.0 (-24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -2.1 (-5.9) | 156.3 (-10.3) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -0.1 (-7.9) | 156.9 (-10.9) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -0.7 (-7.3) | 156.1 (-10.1) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -2.0 (-6.0) | 156.7 (-10.7) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2021 | IOWA 94 – 75 USU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.5 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#39) | 14.2 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.22 (#10) | 1.81 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.65 (#6) | 3.05 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.686 (#17) | 0.617 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 53.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.79 | 2.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 60.2% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 47.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 32.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 25.7% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.1% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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