Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +19 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -3.3 (+15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -1.2 (+17.8) | 152.5 (+16.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -0.2 (+18.8) | 155.0 (+14.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -0.1 (+18.9) | 154.7 (+14.3) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -1.2 (+17.8) | 156.1 (+12.9) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | USU 77 – 69 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#20) | 10.9 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#85) | 2.05 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#98) | 3.21 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#108) | 0.608 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 2.05 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 11.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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