Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | USD +105 SUU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +5 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | SUU -0.3 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -0.4 (-5.4) | 143.2 (-4.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USD -0.5 (-5.5) | 143.9 (-4.9) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -0.2 (-5.2) | 142.0 (-3.0) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -0.4 (-4.6) | 143.7 (-4.7) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-27 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 4-12 |
| Home | 5-13 | 8-7 |
| Away | 0-12 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#298) | -0.3 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.92 (#348) | 0.68 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.51 (#332) | 0.87 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.245 (#364) | 0.529 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 39.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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