Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | USI +120 SDAK -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USI +9 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | USI -3.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -3.3 (+5.7) | 157.1 (+17.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -2.6 (+6.4) | 154.3 (+20.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USI -2.2 (+6.8) | 152.6 (+22.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -2.2 (+6.8) | 155.9 (+19.1) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2025 | SDAK 89 – 74 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 9-7 |
| Home | 8-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 84.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 86.6 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#227) | 0.2 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#291) | 1.21 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#282) | 1.40 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#299) | 0.530 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.4% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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