Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MRST -1000 UNH +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +5 | 103 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -16.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-49.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -13.3 (-8.3) | 143.0 (-40.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -12.8 (-7.8) | 145.4 (-42.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -12.3 (-7.3) | 144.7 (-41.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -10.5 (-5.5) | 138.1 (-35.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2023 | UNH 74 – 71 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-10 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 6-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 9-5 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L5 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#240) | -13.4 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#143) | -4.39 (#364) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#174) | -7.13 (#364) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#163) | 0.263 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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