Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | UNH -175 MRST +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +3 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -5.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -2.4 (+0.6) | 138.8 (+6.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -3.1 (-0.1) | 135.2 (+9.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -3.9 (-0.9) | 134.3 (+10.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -1.3 (+1.7) | 137.9 (+7.1) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | MRST 54 – 49 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 62.2 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#155) | 2.6 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#242) | 1.51 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#232) | 2.06 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#246) | 0.493 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 25.3% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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