Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -35.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +49 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | UK -39.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -37.0 (+12.0) | 154.6 (+12.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -37.8 (+11.2) | 156.5 (+10.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -25.7 (+23.3) | 157.8 (+9.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -27.7 (+21.3) | 157.5 (+9.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-3 | 8-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-15 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.4 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 22.1 (#3) | -11.4 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.80 (#18) | -1.63 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.58 (#15) | -2.16 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.733 (#9) | 0.475 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.6% | 35.8% |
| 3PT% | 41.8% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 46.0 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.95 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.1% | 41.1% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 63.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.2% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.