Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | AAMU +130 CCU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | CCU -2.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.3 (+23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -0.2 (+7.2) | 137.1 (+9.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -0.5 (+7.5) | 132.4 (+14.6) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -0.1 (+7.1) | 131.0 (+16.0) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -0.9 (+7.9) | 135.7 (+11.3) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2025 | CCU 67 – 60 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-9 | 6-8 |
| Away | 2-12 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -13.7 (#353) | -4.8 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#286) | -1.78 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#288) | -3.45 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.345 (#338) | 0.451 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 22.5% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.53 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 36.5% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 24.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 9.9% |
| DRB% | 54.5% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 41.1% | 34.2% |
Game Analysis
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