Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | CCU -325 AAMU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +7 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | CCU -12.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -8.6 (-1.6) | 136.1 (-9.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -8.7 (-1.7) | 135.7 (-8.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -8.8 (-1.8) | 136.2 (-9.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -7.9 (-0.9) | 139.0 (-12.0) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | AAMU 77 – 70 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 10-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#234) | -10.4 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#204) | 1.00 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#215) | 1.31 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#286) | 0.584 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 28.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 20.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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