Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -26.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | WASH -100000 ALCN +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +17 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -25.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -17.7 (-0.7) | 131.7 (+5.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -17.2 (-0.2) | 132.9 (+4.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -16.7 (+0.3) | 132.7 (+4.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -19.7 (-2.7) | 131.9 (+5.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-9 | 6-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-17 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#163) | -18.2 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#81) | -1.34 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#72) | -1.99 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#38) | 0.470 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 32.9% |
| 3PT% | 23.1% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 43.3 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 16.3 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.9% | 36.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 25.6% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.4% | 61.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 56.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.