Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | NCSU -2500 W&M +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +23 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -10.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.9 (-19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -11.6 (+11.4) | 156.0 (-11.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -10.8 (+12.2) | 154.9 (-9.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -10.5 (+12.5) | 156.3 (-11.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -14.2 (+8.8) | 156.1 (-11.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2022 | NCSU 85 – 64 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 0-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#75) | 2.7 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#80) | -0.06 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#86) | 0.95 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#127) | 0.469 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.1% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 34.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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