Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | NCSU -3300 W&M +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +21 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -21.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -20.0 (+1.0) | 146.2 (+2.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -18.5 (+2.5) | 147.1 (+1.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -17.8 (+3.2) | 148.4 (+0.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -18.9 (+2.1) | 148.1 (+0.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | NCSU 84 – 61 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#29) | -2.8 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#69) | -0.78 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#76) | -1.34 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#60) | 0.474 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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