Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | WEB +250 UCI -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +6 | 180 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -15.2 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+47.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -10.9 (+4.9) | 141.1 (+38.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -8.1 (+2.1) | 136.4 (+43.6) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -11.0 (+5.0) | 133.3 (+46.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -13.2 (+7.2) | 134.0 (+46.0) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2025 | UCI 79 – 70 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-22 | 32-7 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 17-3 |
| Home | 5-10 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 14-3 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#312) | 13.2 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#277) | 2.58 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#262) | 3.93 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#187) | 0.578 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.2% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 22.2% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 42.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.4% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 42.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 86.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.2% | 12.4% |
Game Analysis
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