Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -800 WEB +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +9 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -0.7 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -0.1 (+8.9) | 141.2 (+7.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -0.6 (+8.4) | 139.0 (+10.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -0.7 (+8.3) | 143.9 (+5.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | UCI 93 – 87 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#281) | 2.5 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#271) | -0.65 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#265) | -0.74 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#64) | 0.542 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.9% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 46.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.7% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 12.0% |
| DRB% | 52.5% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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