Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -130 DUKE +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +14 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | DUKE -6.7 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (-32.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -0.2 (-13.8) | 154.9 (-30.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | DUKE -4.0 (-10.0) | 143.0 (-19.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | DUKE -1.9 (-12.1) | 146.9 (-22.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -1.1 (-12.9) | 151.3 (-27.3) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 28, 2025 | DUKE 100 – 93 ARIZ |
| Nov 11, 2023 | ARIZ 78 – 73 DUKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 35-4 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 19-1 |
| Home | 13-3 | 17-0 |
| Away | 6-5 | 10-1 |
| Neutral | 5-5 | 8-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.5 | 83.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#33) | 24.1 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#172) | 1.08 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#179) | 2.23 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#169) | 0.583 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 51.3 | 44.2 |
| OREB / G | 21.7 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 50.0% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 39.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 84.8% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.6% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.