Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | UML -225 QUIN +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +10 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | UML -3.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -2.4 (+7.6) | 148.4 (+1.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -5.6 (+4.4) | 144.7 (+5.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -3.8 (+6.2) | 145.9 (+4.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -3.8 (+6.2) | 148.0 (+2.0) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | QUIN 75 – 71 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#284) | -3.3 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#169) | 0.51 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#157) | 0.55 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#128) | 0.479 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 22.9% | 24.0% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.54 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 20.4% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 36.9% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 56.8% | 59.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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