He took it all too far, but boy could he play guitar. "Ziggy Stardust" - David Bowie
Wyoming Cowboys
64 61
FINAL Cancun Challenge
SE Louisiana Lions
Arena-Auditorium · November 23, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WYO -10.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money WYO -650 / SELA +425
Model Predictions
Spread Total WYO win
Actual WYO +3 125 Won
Massey WYO -1.6 (+1.4)
Massey Totals 139.9 (-14.9)
Bradley-Terry 84%
Weighted B-T 95%
Baseline Plus ML WYO -3.5 (-0.5) 141.3 (-16.3) 62%
Baseline ML WYO -3.8 (-0.8) 142.1 (-17.1) 63%
Baseline Tuned ML WYO -3.1 (-0.1) 140.2 (-15.2) 62%
Efficiency Plus ML WYO -5.0 (-2.0) 138.5 (-13.5) 72%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 13, 2022 SELA 7672 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WYO SELA
Overall 12-20 18-14
Conference 5-15 12-8
Home 8-7 8-4
Away 3-10 9-8
Neutral 1-3 1-2
Last 5 2-1 1-2
Streak L5 L4
Avg Pts For 65.8 71.2
Avg Pts Against 70.7 70.6
Massey -6.7 (#292) -1.9 (#202)
Bradley-Terry -0.38 (#212) -0.62 (#238)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.87 (#235) -1.98 (#276)
RPI 0.462 (#233) 0.484 (#196)
Shooting & Four Factors WYO SELA
FG% 45.8% 45.0%
3PT% 37.0% 33.3%
REB / G 39.0 33.3
OREB / G 14.0 8.0
AST / TO 0.73 0.82
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.9% 50.9%
TOV% 24.5% 22.9%
ORB% 39.3% 24.5%
FT Rate 26.8% 17.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 52.8%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 16.5%
DRB% 67.6% 70.4%
Opp FT Rate 27.9% 23.7%

Game Analysis

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