Vermont
Catamounts
75
–
71
FINAL
Neutral
Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off Tournament
Delaware
Blue Hens
Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | UVM -260 DEL +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +4 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -1.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -0.4 (+4.4) | 135.1 (+10.9) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -1.5 (+5.5) | 132.9 (+13.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -0.3 (+4.3) | 132.0 (+14.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -0.8 (+4.8) | 137.7 (+8.3) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#285) | -5.3 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#213) | -0.52 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#234) | -0.50 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#213) | 0.467 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 61.8% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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