Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | CAN +290 BRWN -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +7 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | BRWN -8.2 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -7.0 (-0.0) | 142.3 (+16.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -5.6 (-1.4) | 143.2 (+15.8) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -5.5 (-1.5) | 142.4 (+16.6) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -7.8 (+0.8) | 145.3 (+13.7) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-28 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 6-8 |
| Home | 1-12 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-15 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -17.0 (#358) | -2.4 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.62 (#342) | -2.30 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.39 (#347) | -2.85 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.360 (#330) | 0.311 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 26.5 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 19.1% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 63.0% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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