Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | WAKE -8000 DETM +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +10 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -11.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -10.4 (-0.4) | 139.8 (-15.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -9.6 (+0.4) | 138.3 (-14.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -9.0 (+1.0) | 137.9 (-13.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -13.0 (-3.0) | 138.6 (-14.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 4-16 |
| Home | 13-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#180) | -5.6 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#44) | -0.40 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#51) | -1.14 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#87) | 0.470 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 41.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 41.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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