Temple
Owls
87
–
80
FINAL
Neutral
Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off Tournament
Massachusetts
Minutemen
Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | TEM +105 MASS -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +7 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -0.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -2.6 (+4.4) | 152.2 (+14.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -1.6 (+5.4) | 148.3 (+18.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -1.6 (+5.4) | 145.7 (+21.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -1.4 (+8.4) | 153.3 (+13.7) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#126) | 2.1 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#222) | -1.72 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#227) | -2.43 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#159) | 0.432 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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